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Saturday

Bundesliga

Berlin- München: under 2.5,3 @ 1.96

Berlin is struggeling big time right now. after a nice start it is showing now that it is NOT working. critics for the team are all over the place and they are happy that after today s game there is x-mas break in german football.
that would make München a nice play , but the league leader is in trouble also.Goalie and captain Olli Kahn is supended internally by coach after an early exit from the official team x-mas-party during the week.
that brought up lots of internal problems in the team during the week...but anyhow it s still Bayern and they ill not be much affected, but still will not dominate Berlin. They had trouble scoring recently which brings me to the under as the better choice here.they have scored only 4 goals in last 6 league matches and the only part which is still working is the defense as they have the best in the league with only 8 conceided goals in 16 games. they will try to control the game if they grab a lead as only bayern is able to to it here in germany.
i dont see much chance for Berlin to bring much input on the board as they have lost 4 of last 5.
if you have a option i would recommend to play a ML combi with Bayern involved at 1.63 but not at a -0.75 hdc.

Wolfsburg- Dortmund: over 2.5,3 @ 1.85 !! 2 units!!

i dont understand why this line is not at 3. just some stats: WOlfsburg s last 7 games have seen at least 3 goals (and that was only 2 of them), but what is more important there were always both teams involved. so a lot of scoring and conceiding.
Dortmund is over in 6 of 8 away games and there offense has woken up lately too, so they have shown they are not sitting back on defense in awy games. thats actually all i need to know for a total: both teams should score which makes the over a strong play.

Bremen- Leverkusen: over 3@ 1.87 and Leverkusen +0.5 @ 1.83

Leverkusen is thehottest team in the league right now and although they are not as high scoring away as in home games they simply have a run right now and have also shown that they can score on counter attack and especially when given space.
Nothing to say about Bremen. when they are in involved scoring is guaranteed and in a game against another good team that likes to play offense it s another perfect match where i expect both t eams to score and will very likely see at least 3, but likely 4 or more goals.
i also have Leverkusen side as i dont see much between them. Leverkusen has won 5 of last 6 overall and will have no fear playing at Bremen.
Although Bremen has recovered in Bundesliga great from weak ECL games in the past i am not sure how they react to the piräus loss which has eliminated them finally.
if they are not 100 % focused Leverkusen might be even up for a straight win.

.. more to come
 

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Schalke- Nürnberg: Schalke -1 @ 2.07

Schalke might have celebrated a lot after tueasday ECL win, but should still be able to beat a Nürnberg which is simply not good this season (espeially away).

Karlsruhe- Hamburg: Hmaburg pk,-0.5 @ 2.02 and under 2.5 @1.85

although Hamburg s hot streak has been stopped they are still playing well and are able to shut anybody down. Karlsruhe after a surprising start in the season has lately shown signs of a slow down and i think the max they will get today is a draw, but i like the chances for Hamburg.

BOL to all
 

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another great day on saturday, but let s move on to sunday to earn some money for the "TV-games" in England

SUnday:

2. Bundesliga

Gladbach- Paderborn: under 3 @ 1.80 !! 2 units!!

its first vs. last, but still i dont like the -1.25 line. Gladbach plays great at the moment and they coming of a big away win at Freiburg in the monday night game. now they facing the bottom team, but they are struggeling sometimes (especially at home) when teams play very solid defense and not trying to participate in game. that s what i expect from Paderborn. Paderborn is unbeaten in last 5 games, but they have only one win as they are struggeling big time to score (only 9 goals in 16 matches), but they have a very,very solid defense.there are only 2 teams !!! in the whole league, the first and second place team, which have conceided less goals than Paderborn --- and they are sitting in last place -- that very unusual and i have never heart that, but it shows that the under is the play here. chances are that Paderborn will not score at all and i dont see Gladbach to score 4 times. even if Paderborn scores once (that should be the max) it will be tough for Gladbach to make this a loosing bet.

Fürth- Hoffenheim: over 2.5 @1.80

both teams have hgigh expectations and solid teams that like to play offensive football. but they are both unpredictable in their performance. without going into too much detail, if you look into the games they played most of the games where they played better teams who also try to plays attacking football games went over. this is due to the fact that they both have problems to shut teams down, but can always score if given enough space. this is expected for today as both will go for the win and nobody need a draw here.

München- AUe: München -0.5 @ 1.86 and under 2.5 @ 1.97

München is playing a up and down season, but they are still the much better team than Aue who struggles espeially away. Aue couldnt not even get the points against other relegation troubled teams lately which is not a good sign. Even if München is not red hot right now they need only a win, as the better team, at home vs. a big time struggeler. so great value here.
Bot teams dont score a lot and that s why i like the under. Aue will look for a draw in a very defensive style and münchen struggled usually with that style.

Wehen- Freiburg: under 2.5 @1.90

Wehen has only conceided 4 goals in last 6 games and they play well against the top teams especially at home. Freiburg is 3rd but has not won in last 5 games...something is wrong with team. away they play from a solid def and they shouldbe satisfied with a draw .
if you can get Wehen at +0.5 it s also a nice play, but i like the under more.

BOL to all (Bundesliga later)
 

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now 1-0 gladbach witha tremendous fre kick from 30 meters, but gladbach down to 10 men...25 min to go
 

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sorry for the format, but i cant edit here from work 2.BundesligaKöln-Kaiserslautern: Köln -0.5,-1 @ 1.92 !! 2 units!! a big play to finish the year 2007 in germany.Köln is together with gladbach the hottest team in league right now. although they lost last week to 2nd place mainz they can get to a promotion spot today for the first time since matchday one and finish off a great comeback. they have won the last 4 home games, playing much better defense in last 3 games and the offense is the best in the league anyway. today s night game is a sell out with about 50.000 people (and that s 2.Liga) and it will be a great x-mas atmosphere on a cold, but great winter night.Kaisersluatern is the complete opposite as the team is struggeling big time on and off the pitch. they are in 16th place and had some hope of a decent ending to the year with an away win at st.pauli 2 weeks ago, but than again gave away a 2-0 lead at home to anothe rbottom club last week to loose 2-3. that has shown all the problems they have. they are simply not good neither on offense nor on defense and the team is completely out of confidence. they need the winter break (and probably a few new players) really bad. not a good position to play at Köln.Only reason why it think the line is not at least at 1.25 is the fact that Köln has not won in 17 years!!! vs. Kaiserslautern (about 26 matches)..no idea why that is, but these teams today have a hugh difference in skill so hopefully that streak ends. but it s really the only reason not to play köln and i gladly take that risk.BOL to all
 

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totally agree with this pick , I am still deciding what to play over 2.5 or Köln win .
 

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great finish to the year. it was very very much deserved.
öln completely dominated first half and in addition to many scoring chances had one clear penalty not given and one correct goal in 7th min for offside striker was not even on the same line. than out of nothing aiserslautern took the lead on a directly scored corner kick.
2nd half pretty much the same dominance with twice crossbar for köln and finally they scored. curious thing is that the 2-1 was clearly offside and should have been disallowed, but overall its more than a fair result.
 

Beware The Belgian
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nice call chris !

Got a personal qustion for you and tried to reach you via Wilheim but it seems the mail didn't come trough. Would it be possble to hook me up with your e-mail adress ? -> you can use jdg24x@yahoo.com to send it over

thanks in advance
 

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